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04 Nov · 17:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartosz Matachowski
🇨🇿Bartosz Matachowski
ELO 1441
3-2Final setsMatachowski won
PKPiotr Kedzierski
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1361
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Matachowski at 56%. The actual result was Bartosz Matachowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Matachowski favoured — closing 1.69
Favourite won
Total 78.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Matachowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartosz Matachowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Matachowski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Kedzierski.

▲ Bartosz Matachowskipre 60% → final 96%
Piotr Kedzierski ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsMatachowski recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games