Denys Kovtanyuk vs Bartosz Matachowski

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04 Nov · 19:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk

ELO 1399

3-1Final setsKovtanyuk won

🇨🇿Bartosz Matachowski

ELO 1427

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Matachowski at 55%. The actual result was Denys Kovtanyuk 3-1 — the underdog won.

Denys Kovtanyuk — profile →Bartosz Matachowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Matachowski favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Total 79.5

70 points played

Under

Set handicap

Matachowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Matachowski −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

5.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Denys Kovtanyuk is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Matachowski.

▲ Denys Kovtanyukpre 41% → final 100%

Bartosz Matachowski ▼

Biggest swing 59 ptsKovtanyuk recovered from 41%69 points · 4 games