5 Nov · 09:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1349
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sturma
PS
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1437
FormLLWLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lysek🌟Sturma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (120)
Fair odds · Sturma
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H27-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)