5 Nov · 09:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1654
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krenek
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1577
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veliiev🌟Veliiev covers set handicap as underdog 72% (40)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)