5 Nov · 08:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1520
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Strelec
ZC
🇨🇿Zdenek Chovancik
ELO 1406
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)