5 Nov · 12:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Josef Vintr
ELO 1481
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1570
FormLWWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vintr🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (201)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)