5 Nov · 11:45 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1546
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1556
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H18-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.