5 Nov · 13:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1457
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1484
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (188)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H33-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.