5 Nov · 13:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1413
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jamrich
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1448
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Filipek goes over total as underdog 64% (199)
Fair odds · Jamrich
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.