5 Nov · 11:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1560
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1690
FormLLLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+130
H2H27-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-12)