5 Nov · 07:40 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1520
FormWLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Strelec
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1349
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lysek🌟Lysek goes over total as underdog 63% (62)
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+171
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)