5 Nov · 12:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1411
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Moravec
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1403
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Chlumsky covers set handicap as underdog 62% (48)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H16-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.