5 Nov · 10:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
ZC
🇨🇿Zdenek Chovancik
ELO 1406
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chovancik
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1349
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lysek🌟Lysek goes over total as underdog 63% (62)
Fair odds · Chovancik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 45% · 2.23· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H2-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)