5 Nov · 10:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1690
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1710
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H3-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.