5 Nov · 13:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1546
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1654
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (171)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H38-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-29)