5 Nov · 13:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Josef Vintr
ELO 1481
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dvorak
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1551
FormWLLLL
44%
56%
🌟Vintr goes over total as underdog 63% (51)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)