5 Nov · 16:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1545
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chvatal
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1565
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Chvatal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (61)
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.