5 Nov · 16:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1561
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cizek
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1513
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dzida🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (96)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.