5 Nov · 16:05 MEZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1594
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1595
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.