5 Nov · 15:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1567
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vitasek
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1453
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 63% (84)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)