5 Nov · 21:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1465
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Theodor
FT
🇨🇿Filip Theodor
ELO 1488
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Theodor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (37)
Fair odds · Theodor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.