5 Nov · 17:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1595
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1545
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 1.99· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.