5 Nov · 18:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1594
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mastera
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1545
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Mastera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Mastera
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H9-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.