5 Nov · 17:50 MEZLow · Coin Flip
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1557
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Holik
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1559
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Holik🌟Holik goes over total as favourite 65% (55)
Fair odds · Holik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H11-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.