5 Nov · 17:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1492
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rek
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)