5 Nov · 17:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1453
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cizek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1561
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volny🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (96)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)