5 Nov · 21:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1509
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Marsalek
PM
🇨🇿Patrik Marsalek
ELO 1536
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heuman🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 69% (90)
Fair odds · Marsalek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.