5 Nov · 16:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1492
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dvorak
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1557
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H10-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)