5 Nov · 18:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1513
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1453
FormWWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 63% (84)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)