5 Nov · 17:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1567
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vitasek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1561
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (141)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H17-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.