5 Nov · 18:50 MEZLow · Coin Flip
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dvorak
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1557
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.