5 Nov · 17:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1594
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mastera
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1565
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvatal🌟Mastera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Mastera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.