5 Nov · 18:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1638
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vorisek
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1593
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H18-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.