5 Nov · 16:50 MEZLow · Coin Flip
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1559
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Holik
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Holik goes over total as favourite 65% (55)
Fair odds · Holik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.