5 Nov · 20:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1499
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vitasek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1567
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 72% (102)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)