5 Nov · 18:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1565
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1595
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Chvatal covers set handicap as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H15-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.