5 Nov · 18:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1611
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Strejc
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1593
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Flicek🌟Strejc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (74)
Fair odds · Strejc
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H27-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.