5 Nov · 18:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1628
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1632
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H28-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.