5 Nov · 17:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1593
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1708
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)