5 Nov · 16:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1562
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vitasek
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1508
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dzida
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.