5 Nov · 22:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1562
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vitasek
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1509
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heuman🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 69% (90)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H26-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.