5 Nov · 21:50 MEZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1538
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vich
AK
🇨🇿Ales Krcil
ELO 1529
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Krcil stays under total as underdog 72% (18)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.