5 Nov · 23:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1668
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cerny
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1554
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H50-63
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)