5 Nov · 22:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
SM
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1420
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vidourek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1441
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Vidourek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (27)
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.