5 Nov · 22:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1559
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vosyka
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1455
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H22-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-11)