6 Nov · 08:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1544
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kosacky
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1575
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kosacky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H22-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.