6 Nov · 09:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1496
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lasota
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1471
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (79)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.