6 Nov · 09:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1672
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gembala
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1651
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (125)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H18-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.