6 Nov · 07:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1521
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1496
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lasota🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (185)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.