6 Nov · 09:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1521
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krupnik
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1471
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (79)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H17-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.